Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 2.074351 2.367801 2.688540 3.065237 3.495712 3.972510 4.540997
2025-08-17 1.581089 1.968305 2.429762 3.020739 3.758420 4.650130 5.811953
2025-08-24 1.353984 1.788801 2.338644 3.086030 4.077488 5.350573 7.114493
2025-08-31 1.187699 1.647243 2.257240 3.127894 4.342072 5.980542 8.368797
2025-09-07 1.043326 1.509010 2.153615 3.113399 4.511139 6.480410 9.480260
2025-09-14 0.917626 1.377760 2.038926 3.061249 4.608864 6.875075 10.466511
2025-09-21 0.822464 1.277725 1.954582 3.037928 4.737099 7.314769 11.550758
2025-09-28 0.737518 1.182370 1.864893 2.992711 4.820587 7.685751 12.555296
2025-10-05 0.722326 1.193323 1.938007 3.206664 5.328363 8.760033 14.783775
2025-10-12 0.670912 1.139682 1.901797 3.237462 5.537355 9.367354 16.295571
2025-10-19 0.641716 1.119457 1.917112 3.353459 5.896744 10.252064 18.361101
2025-10-26 0.588695 1.052866 1.847444 3.315099 5.982855 10.672877 19.645319
2025-11-02 0.535182 0.983689 1.772782 3.271615 6.075776 11.150196 21.152854
2025-11-09 0.485439 0.916855 1.696853 3.220241 6.153489 11.616839 22.712893
2025-11-16 0.458232 0.888540 1.687337 3.290106 6.463481 12.541894 25.251008
2025-11-23 0.430555 0.856154 1.666417 3.334777 6.727556 13.403202 27.756137
2025-11-30 0.398633 0.811950 1.618032 3.319308 6.868666 14.034321 29.858445
2025-12-07 0.365665 0.762143 1.553461 3.263650 6.920326 14.487331 31.633321
2025-12-14 0.339214 0.722988 1.506332 3.238761 7.032556 15.074424 33.759057
2025-12-21 0.313113 0.681888 1.451086 3.190504 7.088534 15.545709 35.677840
2025-12-28 0.313972 0.698943 1.519848 3.418848 7.776044 17.456822 41.081121
2026-01-04 0.297827 0.676814 1.501887 3.451719 8.025873 18.418584 44.380521
2026-01-11 0.290064 0.672739 1.523080 3.575527 8.497264 19.930215 49.160898